A Tata Motors
spokesperson said the company “doesn’t comment on market rumours.”
gross leverage ratio on a consolidated basis shot up to a nine-year high of 1.83x at the end of September this year as the company took a hit on its net worth or shareholders’ equity due to losses at JLR and its domestic business in the last 18 months. The leverage ratio was at a comfortable level of 0.8x at the end of March 2018. (See the adjoining chart).
The company’s net worth, on a consolidated basis, was down 45 per cent year-on-year (y-o-y) basis during the first half of FY20 while total borrowings were up 3 per cent y-o-y during the same period.
Tata Motors reported a net loss of Rs 3,914 crore during the first half of FY20, following a net loss of around Rs 26,000 crore during the six months ending March 2019 and a net loss of around Rs 3,000 crore during six months ending September 2019. The company’s domestic business also turned loss making with net losses of Rs 1,379 crore during the first half of FY20.
These losses are eating into the company’s accumulated profits, leading to a decline in its net worth and rise in the debt to equity ratio. Analysts said that the company’s current debt to equity ratio is unsustainably high and could potentially jack up its borrowings costs and even trigger a rating downgrade.
“A debt to equity ratio higher than 1 is a red flag in a cyclical business such as automobile manufacturing. It will weigh on the company’s valuation and its fundraising capacity if the leverage ratio stays above 1 for long,” said an analyst on condition of anonymity.
Analysts said this could explain the latest move by Tata Sons, Tata Motor’s promoter, to inject fresh equity worth Rs 6,500 crore in the company. The automakers will, however, need additional capital to bring down its leverage ratio to a comfortable level.
Others agreed. Bharat Giani, analyst at Sharekhan, said, “While one can draw some comfort from the company’s second quarter performance, continuing the same will be tough as the quarter was a strong one seasonally. Also, the high growth rate seen in China volumes is also not sustainable,” he said. Giani added the high debt levels owing to a weak cash flow is a cause for concern. “The recent move to raise funds through preferential allotment of shares will hardly move the needle,” he pointed out. Factors such as the uncertainty related to Brexit in the UK and disruption due to a transition to BSVI in the home market will weigh on the company’s overall volumes, he added.
The company’s lending arm, Tata Motors Finance, which accounted for around 30 per cent of the company’s consolidated borrowings at the end of March 2019, has little role to play in the rise in gross leverage ratio. The deterioration in Tata Motor’s debt to equity ratio is largely due to decline in net worth rather than any meaningful rise in borrowings. The company’s gross debt was up by around Rs 2,500 crore during H1FY20 over the same period a year ago.
Meanwhile, rating agencies have taken a note of the deteriorating financials. After S&P’s downgrade in March, credit ratings agency Moody’s said its outlook for Tata Motors is negative and further assigned Ba3 rating.
The negative outlook primarily reflects the challenges faced by Tata’s operations (excluding JLR) from the Indian auto sector’s slowing sales due to weak demand, over capacity and tightening liquidity.