The future of TV

The TV-entertainment industry has managed to turn the conventional wisdom regarding market competition on its head. There are more ways than ever to watch TV, yet for many people that won’t translate into greater choice or saving money. 

Three major industry developments during the last week point further in this direction:
  • Walt Disney unveiled Disney+. Beginning November 12, it will be the exclusive home for a ton of the company’s new and old content. For superfans of Disney’s brands, such as Star Wars, and for parents of young kids, the $6.99-a-month subscription (or $69.99 a year) may be well worth it. Others will have to decide if it’s yet another app worth signing up for, or if they’d rather just keep their money. I’m not even convinced the price will stay that low for long – Disney’s left a lot of room to catch up to Netflix’s $12.99-a-month standard fee.
  • Meanwhile, YouTube TV raised its monthly subscription fee by $10 to a whopping $49.99. Eight Discovery networks were also added to its lineup, including HGTV and TLC. However, the combined affiliate fees for those channels are little more than $1 a month per subscriber, meaning they don’t come close to explaining YouTube TV’s significant price hike.
  • T-Mobile introduced TVision, a $100-a-month package of more than 275 channels — a couple hundred more than most people care to have. Initially it will require a cable box, just one more reason TVision looks like a glorified cable package. 
This wasn’t the future consumers — nor media companies, for that matter — envisioned. It’s a total mess, and configuring the ideal set of subscriptions can get expensive. Say you want to watch the upcoming Star Wars series, The Mandalorian. You’ll need to pay $6.99 a month for Disney+. But to finish out HBO’s “Succession,” cough up another $15 for HBO Now. For live TV such as sports and guilty-pleasure reality shows, maybe you subscribe to YouTube TV at $50. And’s involvement with the YES Network may signal that someday New York Yankees baseball games will require yet another app. Add in the cost of an internet connection and suddenly an old-school cable bundle doesn’t look so bad anymore. (Could it be, two of America’s most despised brands, Comcast and the former Time Warner Cable, are vindicated? Nah.)

The only real improvement in consumer choice is the ease of canceling. That can be done online with basically the click of a button, and it’s just as easy to sign back up when there’s a show you don’t want to miss. For example, fans of Game of Thrones — which returned Sunday night for its final season — could pay the next two months for HBO Now and then quit until the network's next big series. Cable packages, by comparison, are notoriously difficult to get out of and require begrudging calls to customer service. But if canceling is the streaming industry’s biggest selling point, then that’s a problem.

This is why, to me, Netflix still stands out as the simple, affordable, good-enough option. (We’ll learn how many customers it enticed during the latest period when the company reports results at the close of trading Tuesday.) That said, Disney, for its part, is exploring how it can take advantage of bundling opportunities by offering a discount to those who subscribe to all three of its apps: Disney+, Hulu and ESPN+. The company made a move toward this on Monday in announcing Hulu will buy out AT&T’s 9.5 per cent stake in the streaming company for $1.43 billion. Disney, which owns a majority stake in Hulu, will bill the combo of the three apps as the complete package, ticking the boxes for family content, adult content and sports. In reality, though, there are still a lot of holes.

This is also why free, ad-supported services such as Pluto TV (recently acquired by Viacom) are catching on. Who knew the future of TV would mean yearning for the days of ads and bundles? Then again, T-Mobile’s TVision goes too far the other way, cramming in everything but the kitchen sink at quite a steep price. 

In a February, I posed the question, “ What is TV?” The only concrete answer I have at this point: Frustrating.

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