Vodafone Idea will lose market share to come down to 25 percent over the next 18 months and hence will require funding again, it said, adding that second biggest telco Bharti Airtel's market share will remain stable at 30 percent.
It can be noted that it had a market share of over 35 percent as of December 2018, according to reports.
Price hikes necessary for improvements in financial conditions of telcos are unlikely in FY20 and will happen only after Jio becomes the dominant player with 40 percent market share in FY21, it said.
On the fund raising plans, the brokerage said apart from Vodafone Idea's Rs 25,000 crore rights issue, there is Bharti's fund raising for a similar amount through the same route.
It also hinted that the remaining Rs 50,000 crore will be done by Jio's fiber and tower infrastructure investment trusts (InVITs) will need equity funding for the majority of the Rs 1.1 trillion in liability.
The report explained that Jio has de-merged its fiber and tower assets into a separate company which is majority owned by an InvIT. It has transferred Rs 1,073 billion of liabilities, the majority of which will need to be refinanced by an equity raising, in InvIT, it said.
It can be noted that domestic rating agency Crisil had recently hinted of a revival in the industry's fortunes from FY20, with estimating revenues to increase 7 percent on better pricing power.
The turnaround will ride on an increase in average revenue per user (ARPU) by 11 percent, it had said.
The brokerage said it expects the revenues to be "stable to slightly down" for Vodafone Idea and Bharti in the results for the fourth quarter of last fiscal to be announced soon.
"Further competitive intensity in the near term will remain high especially in the postpaid segment," it said.
It can be noted that Jio's September 2016 entry has wrecked the telecom industry, as the new entrant made calling which delivered 70 percent of revenues, free.
All the companies have been showing financial troubles including profit erosion or losses, which has led to consolidations, asset sell-offs, exits and even bankruptcies.
Business Standard has always strived hard to provide up-to-date information and commentary on developments that are of interest to you and have wider political and economic implications for the country and the world. Your encouragement and constant feedback on how to improve our offering have only made our resolve and commitment to these ideals stronger. Even during these difficult times arising out of Covid-19, we continue to remain committed to keeping you informed and updated with credible news, authoritative views and incisive commentary on topical issues of relevance.
We, however, have a request.
As we battle the economic impact of the pandemic, we need your support even more, so that we can continue to offer you more quality content. Our subscription model has seen an encouraging response from many of you, who have subscribed to our online content. More subscription to our online content can only help us achieve the goals of offering you even better and more relevant content. We believe in free, fair and credible journalism. Your support through more subscriptions can help us practise the journalism to which we are committed.
Support quality journalism and subscribe to Business Standard.