The government has already suggested that pandemic may have passed its worst phase in India in September
The number of daily Covid-19 cases detected in key urban areas has shown a declining trend. The fall varies from over a tenth of the recent peak value to over a quarter. Delhi, Mumbai and Chennai have all shown a decline in absolute daily numbers (see charts 1,2 and 3).
There has also been a fall in the absolute number of tests done from their peak values. But testing numbers have not fallen as much. Except in Mumbai, the decline is small compared to the peak testing numbers. Even in Mumbai, lumpy data wherein numbers for more than one day are given together, may have contributed to a higher peak value.
The government has already suggested that pandemic may have passed its worst phase in India in September.
The numbers are based on key metros where available. Data has been gathered from district data collated by the independent pandemic data website covid19india.org. Some of the data is updated with a lag. Latest figures available for all three regions as of Monday evening have been considered for the exercise.
Note: For key urban regions. Some data is updated with a lag | Source: Covid19india.org, Business Standard calculations