Jharkhand (-24%), Saurashtra and Kutch (-26%), North Interior Karnataka (-24%), Rayalaseema (-41%) and Marathwada
(-18%) are the areas staring at a drought-like situation unless there is big revival.
from a village in Marathwada
have filed a police complaint against the IMD for making what they say misleading forecasts and allegedly colluding with seed and pesticide companies to inflate monsoon
forecasts. Marathwada’s several districts are facing a drought-like situation.
The weather department, though, signaled a revival in monsoon. Under the influence of a fresh low pressure area (which is likely to form over northwest Bay of Bengal and the neighbourhood around 13 August) and strong southerly winds from Bay of Bengal to northeastern states, fairly widespread to widespread rainfall and heavy to very heavy rainfall at isolated places are very likely over the northeastern states, West Bengal, Odisha, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Bihar, eastern UP, Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh on most days of the next one week.
Western Rajasthan, Gujarat, Marathwada, Telangana, Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu are expected to get scattered rainfall during the next two weeks.
Last week, the IMD, in its second seasonal forecast, said rains in August and September would be 'normal’ at 95 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA). The prediction came days after private weather forecasting agency, Skymet, predicted 'below normal' rains in the remaining two months of the southwest monsoon season.
The forecast is with a model error of plus and minus 8 per cent.
In August, the Met said in a statement that rains were not only expected to be normal but might even be higher than what was predicted in June at 96 per cent of the LPA.
In June, when the weather office came out with its forecast for regional distribution, it said rains in August would be 94 per cent of the LPA.
The forecast is with a model error of plus and minus 9 per cent.
The forecast for August rains is in variance with that of Skymet, which said rains in the month would be ‘deficient’ at 88 per cent of the LPA. IMD predicted it to be ‘normal’ at 96 per cent of the LPA.
During the last two months, IMD said there was a 63 per cent chance of monsoon being normal.