Initial estimate (loss) is around Rs 200-300 billion. We need to rebuild houses, roads and other infrastructures. We are currently working on the package, and are conducting meetings for that. We had a meeting with all the erstwhile chief secretaries of Kerala on how to bring in a method and agency for implementation so that the entire programme can be implemented in the next 24 months. We would finalise it in another week's time.
How is the state planning to mobilise resources to rebuild Kerala?
First, raising of the FRBM (Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management) borrowing limits at least two years and at least 1.5 per cent increase of the GSDP to be borrowed, which will entirely be spent only on capital expenditures. We will ensure that the revenue deficit goes down so that the additional borrowing will go entirely into capex. Secondly, we want the Goods and Services Tax (GST) Council to permit us to impose a cess on SGST. Center wanted a cess for sugar. So in principle, they shouldn't oppose this. Third, we are going to get a lot of private participation and will also utilise Centre sponsored programmes.
Is there any provision in the GST framework to allow such a cess?
Now, the Centre wanted to have a cess on GST for sugar. They have not done it, but if they can opt for that, they can equally permit Kerala. SGST is purely an intra state tax and does not affect Centre or the other states. So there is no logic in denying. We want to have a 10 per cent cess on SGST, which I think will get us some Rs 10 billion.
How much can the state mobilise?
Revenue is going to be around Rs 10 billion, we are not going to get more from it. If I had my land tax, I would have put a 3-5 per cent tax without asking anybody and got my money. Centre schemes are also limited. So it means the package would be keenly dependent upon the central government raising the FRBM level. If they increase the FRBM limit by 1.5 per cent from 3 per cent of the GDP at present, for two years, that should fetch us something like Rs 250 billion and the rest we will raise from the other methods.
Will rebuilding Kerala would further worsen its current financial situation?
No, we are going to use this crisis as an opportunity. Like the rebuilding Kerala programme, we have created various SPVs through which we are attracting private capital and building up big infrastructure. Measures of raising resources through SPVs and investing in the economy, infrastructure are not done very normally. The rationale for it is that this precisely is the crisis. That is what I mean converting the crisis into an opportunity.
Will you take Gadgil committee report into account when you rebuild the infrastructure?
The debate is not going to be on the basis of the Gadgil report, which is about protecting the western ghats. That is unnecessarily going to create a division. Current crisis shows serious indications of climate change. Last year we had drought and this year flood. This is going to be more common occurrence. How prepared are we to face that? Water carrying capacity of river basins are sharply down, which resulted to flash floods. Focus would be how to rejuvenate the rivers, ponds, small canals, conserve the paddy field and also ofcourse, discourage construction in the slopes, land slide prone areas etc.