At the previous RBI board meeting, Gurumurthy is understood to have argued for easing of credit to MSMEs by relaxing the present norms on debt gone bad. Also, that the rule in this regard for placing a bank under ‘Prompt Corrective Action (PCA)’ be revised.
Gurumurthy was speaking on Thursday at an event organised here by Vivekananda International Foundation, a think tank. He is a co-convenor of the Swadeshi Jagran Manch, a body supported by the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh.
From the day (October 26) that RBI Deputy Governor Viral Acharya gave a speech on the importance of independence for central banks, there has been visible disturbance in the formal and informal channels of communication with the central government. Gurumurthy referred to this on Thursday, saying any stand-off between central bank and government “is not a happy thing at all”.
Citing studies by government-appointed committees, he said RBI's reserves do not need to be at their current level of 27-28 per cent of its assets. This assumes importance, since the government is insisting RBI announce a policy on its economic capital framework.
Most of the recent rise in RBI reserves has happened due to appreciation of the dollar, said Gurumurthy. However, he held, it is unlikely that the government is asking RBI for money from the latter's reserves. “As per my understanding, the government is asking for formulation of a policy as to how much of reserves the RBI must have. Most central banks do not have such reserves, except RBI,” he said.
He said the non-performing assets at banks had developed over a period but banks had been forced by RBI to provide for such assets “in one go”, which “created the bank stress”. Adding that former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan had admitted excessive lending took place at that time (the earlier Congress-led government) that later became bad debt.
Gurumurthy proposed that the Fiscal Responsibility and Budget Management Act be amended to make it possible for the government to print money when required. Whether he meant it for liquidity or to finance the fiscal deficit was unclear.
He said the MSME sector suffered the most during both demonetisation and implementation of the goods and services tax (GST). Its present difficulty in obtaining credit was adding to these troubles. This concurs with the finance ministry, whose officials maintain that credit to MSMEs is one of the two top concerns the government has regarding RBI. The second is ensuring liquidity to non-banking financial companies.
Continuing his earlier praise for demonetisation, Gurumurthy said asset prices, especially those of gold and real estate, were rising swiftly before the currency purge. If not for demonetisation, “the economy would have collapsed”, he said.
On the government-RBI stand-off, he said the issue is “not only with RBI but with economists, media and intellectuals because they do not think of alternatives”. Doing so was necessary and “it requires overall correction of the Indian mind”.
What Gurumurthy thinks
We are a bank-driven economy and not a market-driven economy
There is a complete failure of economic intellectualism in India
The Trump phenomenon will last beyond Trump
IMF and World Bank have become “distress lending institutions” and are no longer leading monetary institutions