With 12 years to go, even the incorrigible optimists will find it difficult to believe that the country’s steel capacity could be raised to 300 million tonnes (mt) from the present around 130 mt. Because of mainly land acquisition issues, it took Tata Steel a decade to commission the 3 mt greenfield steel mill at Kalinganagar in Odisha. Even with a huge land bank at its disposal that could easily accommodate capacity in excess of 50 mt, Steel Authority of India Limited is taking almost a decade to complete its Rs 720 billion modernisation and expansion programme this year.
Leaving aside the many hurdles faced by steel groups in executing their growth programmes, the industry is worried whether a commensurately strengthened infrastructure and logistics will be in place to allow efficient use of whatever new capacity is created. The 2017 steel policy aspiration to create such a mammoth capacity, which will be next only to China’s, is founded on the premise of abundant availability of iron ore, a good portion of which is rich in iron content, and non-coking coal used in the making of direct reduced iron (DRI) besides electricity for the highly power intensive industry. But does the mining industry find the policy environment conducive and infrastructure good enough to step up production to meet raw materials requirements of a 300-mt steel industry?
Steel industry operation calls for ingress of four units of raw materials in plants for processing and egress of one unit of finished product. At 101.4 mt of crude steel production in 2017, the industry had to put up with infrastructure deficiencies not allowing smooth supply of raw materials. According to the steel policy projection of India making 255 mt of crude steel in 2030-31 on a capacity base of 300 mt, iron ore requirements will be 437 mt, coking coal 161 mt and non-coking coal 136 mt.
This is based on assumption that 60 to 65 per cent of steel production will be through blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace route and 35 to 40 per cent through electric arc furnace (EAF) and induction furnace (IF) route. In order to restrict the industry’s greenhouse gas emission, the government wants a good volume of the metal made through EAFs. To facilitate that, the policy recommends establishment of steel shredding plants in different parts of the country.
The railways are under compulsion to ensure that thermal power plants have sufficient stocks of coal at all times. But with wagons in short supply, the railways are left with no option but to cut allocation of rakes to sectors such as mines to maintain coal supply to power units. Coincidentally, Piyus Goyal is in charge of both ministries of coal and railways. As iron ore mining groups in Odisha and Jharkhand are not able to move the mineral matching production to consumption points, the user units ranging from steel mills without captive mines, pellet and sponge iron manufacturers are facing shortages of the raw material from time to time. Many of these are medium and small units.
The miners and iron ore users do not expect the mineral evacuation problem to go away anytime soon. According to an industry official, “procurement of wagons by the railways last year was less than 8,000 against the target of 12,000. The railways are supposed to spend Rs 90 billion to procure 38,000 wagons by 2020. We can only hope the procurement target will be achieved and some relief will come our way.”
As attempts are made to remove transport bottlenecks, the steel policy makes a strong recommendation for “alternative modes of transportation of raw materials” such as slurry pipelines and conveyors that will bring relief to miners and mineral processors. Besides decongesting transportation infrastructure in mining belts, slurry pipelines will go a long way in curbing pollution involved in moving iron ore by rail or road. There is promise in the policy that all the benefits available to infrastructure industries will be extended to slurry pipelines also.
RK Sharma, director general of Federation of Indian Mineral Industries, says the challenge is also to liquidate iron ore fines with fe content of up to 62 per cent for which the local demand remains negligible. Citing the fact that over 85 per cent of the country’s iron ore pithead stocks is in Odisha and Jharkhand, Sharma says “liquidation of much of that will be possible if export duty on the fines with fe content of up to 62 per cent is abolished.” The duty makes Indian ore uncompetitive in the global market.