While 1.097 mkg of Assam CTC tea was listed for auctions in Kolkata in the 30th sale in end of June 2018, this year, it fell to 0.98 mkg.
“Ideally, if there is a scarcity of tea, prices should improve,” said Atul Asthana, managing director and CEO at Goodricke Group.
The Tea Association of India (TAI) expects production in July in West Bengal
to have dipped by around 10-15 per cent in the first fortnight of the last month. West Bengal
and Assam produce around 12.50 per cent and 13.5 per cent of their total crop in July, which is estimated to be around 48.50 mkg for each of these states.
“From what it seems till now, on the average, prices of CTC have been stagnant while Dust tea prices
fell. Prices of Orthodox teas on the other hand, have gone up well. On the average, prices have declined very marginally”, Vivek Goenka, president of Warren Tea said.
Prices of Assam orthodox teas improved by 11.40 per cent at Rs. 237.38 a kilo on a year-on-year basis in the last auctions.
Goenka, who is also the chairman of the Indian Tea Association (ITA), believes that as production data for July becomes available, there will be more clarity on tea availability and prices.
“Tea arrival in auctions may be less and prices are expected to increase. But to what extent or what actually happens, that we need to wait and watch”, Sujit Patra, secretary at ITA said.
TAI said that estates like Socketing , Halmira and Socklating in middle Assam had recorded between 4.50-6.50 inches of rainfall as against a normal rainfall of 1-1.50 inches during the first fortnight of July 2019 while Sankar Tea Estate in upper Assam has recorded as high as 15 inches of rainfall during the period.
In estates like Doomni in Assam, rainfall was recorded at 25.82 inches as against 16.11 inches in 2018. In Lakhimpur area in the north-eastern state, Cinnatolia Tea Estate has experienced 33.07 inches rainfall against 11.69 inches last year which has severely affected production.