What can an unpredictable industry learn from this revival? To start with, it could note the two key points about it.
One, unlike earlier turnarounds this one seems to be coming from increased ticket sales and not just higher ticket prices. About two-thirds of the Indian film industry’s Rs 156 billion in revenues comes from the sale of tickets. Roughly 1.3 billion tickets were sold in 2017, a figure that has been falling/stagnant for about four years. That is what data from Ormax Media shows for four key genres — Hindi, English, Tamil and Telugu. This year “people have started going to the theatres,” says Kumar.
For example ticket sales at PVR Cinemas, the largest multiplex chain in India went from about 21 million in the first quarter of 2017-18 to 22.7 million in the same period in 2018-19. At Inox Leisure, it remained stagnant while trends from other chains are not available.
Shailesh Kapoor, CEO of Ormax Media, cautions that better numbers indicate the same people are watching more films.
Kamal Gianchandani, CEO of PVR Pictures, reckons unique users are increasing in under-penetrated markets — say a Vellore where new multiplexes or screens are coming up and audiences are walking back into theatres after years. In older multiplexes, the same people are watching more films. Ticket sales is a tough area to monitor but overall film viewing on every other media has increased. On TV it rose from 21 per cent (in 2015) to about 24 per cent (2018) of all TV watched, according to BARC data. Then there is the rise in streaming services, many of which are driven by movies.
And that brings us to the second point about this revival — OTT (over-the-top) has been a catalyst for some of this change. More than 35 streaming services have exposed Indians, 412 million of them on broadband, to a rich diversity of content. As a result, “filmmakers have cleaned up their act,” says Nitin Tej Ahuja. “The whole theory has been that OTT will kill theatres. But the year in which OTTs have shown maximum growth is also the year in which theatres are doing well,” says Gianchandani.
Kapoor, however, remains circumspect. “It has been good but too much is being read...Usually the second half beings in 60-70 per cent of the collections for Hindi films because all the big releases come during the festival season,” says he.
But the second half of 2018 looks good too. There is Stree, Manmarziyan, Sui Dhaaga and Badhaai Ho. And of course some of the biggest releases of the year — Thugs of Hindostan, Zero, 2.0 — are yet to come. It looks like a really happy new year for India’s film business.