RBI Deputy Governor Viral Acharya explained the RBI’s stance at some length. “I think perhaps the market is adjusting to the fact that we have been in remarkably surplus conditions for a while but I think we are nowhere close to having reached neutrality,” he said in the post-policy conference.
The regulator’s neutral stance would mean on some day banks would borrow from the RBI, while parking excess money on other days.
Acharya said RBI was “essentially absorbing liquidity to the tune of” Rs 20,000-80,000 crore on a “pretty persistent basis”.
The deputy governor also clarified that while buying portfolio flow dollars from the markets, the central bank had injected over Rs 1 lakh crore of rupee liquidity on top of the demonetisation-induced money. That required sterilisation through issuance of special securities but the RBI did that with a lag “because we were waiting for the liquidity conditions post-demonetisation to normalise, and see whether currency in circulation stabilises”.
The RBI has issued Rs 1 lakh crore of special bonds and sold another Rs 90,000 crore of regular bonds directly to the secondary market to neutralise the swollen liquidity condition, which would have fanned inflation if kept for long. In March, banks were parking close to Rs 6 lakh crore of excess liquidity with the central bank.
Acharya said the RBI would continue to manage the evolving liquidity conditions through a mix of variable rate repo and reverse repo of various maturities, to meet short-term liquidity fluctuation.
To meet longer-tenure liquidity needs, it will also consider open market operations, secondary market bond purchase or sale “in case the liquidity is required to be injected or absorbed on a durable basis”.
Liquidity conditions would be marginally surplus till the end of this financial year but should reach neutrality in the first half of 2018, Acharya said.
Yields on the 10-year bond closed at 7.031 per cent from its previous close of 7.061 per cent after the liquidity assurance.