Saudi Arabia could be in for a busy year of asset sales if the kingdom sticks to its plans.
The government hopes to generate about $11 billion by 2020 through its privatization program that includes the sale of stakes in utilities, soccer clubs, flour mills and medical facilities. The sales are key to the country’s efforts to wean the economy
off oil, but so far have been dogged by delays - most notably the IPO of oil giant Aramco.
“With the current status of the initiatives and the progress the privatization Supervisory Committees are making, we see these as attainable targets,” according to the National Center for Privatization and PPP, which is responsible for most of the privatizations expect certain deals like Aramco and the stock exchange. “Progress in most cases is going according to schedule.”
Saudi Arabia plans to complete the sale of four flour milling companies and Saudia Medical Services facilities this year, according to the NCP.
The kingdom’s privatization process “has been one of the areas of the long-term reform agenda that has missed expectations, and has done so repeatedly,” said Jean-Paul Pigat, head of research at Dubai-based Lighthouse Research. “Relative to last year I don’t think macro or financial market conditions at the start of 2019 are in any way suggestive of an acceleration in privatizations.”
Here’s a look at where some of the kingdom’s biggest privatizations are up to:
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman told the world in 2016 that he meant business when announcing the sale of shares in Aramco in what would be the world’s biggest IPO. But it was pushed out from 2018 to late 2020 or early 2021 so the company, known formally as Saudi Arabian Oil Co., could complete a deal to buy a $70 billion stake in the kingdom’s biggest petrochemical company Sabic.
Tadawul, the Middle East’s largest stock exchange, unveiled plans for a public offering in 2014, hiring HSBC Holdings Plc as financial adviser in 2016. It was meant to take place in 2018, but people with knowledge of the matter said in April that it’s been pushed back to this year at the earliest. That’s on hopes that the inclusion of Saudi stocks in indexes compiled by FTSE Russell and MSCI Inc. could boost the company’s value.
Plans to sell a stake in King Khalid International
Airport were said in September to have been put on hold. The Saudi Civil Aviation Holding Co. was said to have asked local and international
investment banks in 2017 to pitch for the role of adviser on the sale.
Plans to sell four flour milling companies by Saudi Grains Organization this year will come three years after the idea was announced, and well past the initial target of the end of 2016. Potential buyers had until November to submit bidding qualification applications. HSBC Saudi Arabia is advising on the deal.
The sale of the $7.2 billion Ras Al Khair power plant on the east coast is expected to be done by 2020. BNP Paribas SA was hired to advise on the deal in September 2017. The sale is part of a broader strategy to privatize Saline Water Conversion Co. by selling some of its assets and developing plants.
Plans to privatize soccer clubs started in 2016. There are currently no “obstacles” that could derail the timeline to sell the clubs by 2020, the NCP said. Turki Al Alshikh, former head of the Saudi Sports Authority, predicted in June that the 16 clubs could raise $800 million to $1.5 billion. The NCP spent the past year developing the legal and commercial framework to cover the use of advertising, sponsorship deals and broadcast rights, it said.
Up for Grabs
The NCP said it will also open tenders for municipal assets related to commercial-land for development, renewable energy PPP projects in solar and wind, parking centers; a second cargo license station at King Khalid International
Airport, the establishment of an agriculture company and a PPP for independent schools, as well as school buildings on a build-maintain-transfer basis.
In the health sector, the NCP will also open PPP tenders in radiology, laboratories, hospital commissioning and housing for health facilities staff. The center is eyeing as much as 28 billion riyals ($7.5 billion) in public-private partnership investments.
“The main objective is to launch bankable transactions that will be accepted by the market and attract local and international best-in-class operators and investors,” the NCP said. “Over the last 18 months we’ve been working diligently to reinforce the legal and commercial base for these initiatives.”