NPAs may dip
Analysts at Prabhudas Lilladher
believe that higher write-offs would help the bank to report a lower gross NPA ratio of around 10.24 per cent for the recently ended quarter, down 200 basis points (bps) from Q4FY18 and about 77 bps from the quarter ended December 2018.
“Moderation in slippages and improving recovery will keep GNPA lower at 10.4 per cent leading to lower credit cost of 49 bps as against 62 bps in Q3FY19,” ICICI Direct Securities said in an earnings preview note.
The net NPA (NNPA) ratio is also expected to drop by around 40 bps on a sequential basis to 3.9 per cent from 4.3 per cent. It was 5.5 per cent in the year-ago period.
It is being anticipated that the bank will report minutely lower slippages in this quarter led by modest recoveries and no major resolution taking place.
Phillip Capital, for instance, estimates the slippages at Rs 3,600 crore, down 3.6 per cent, from Rs 3,733 crore in Q3FY19. It was Rs 12,569 crore in the corresponding period of the previous fiscal.
Commentary after merger
Analysts await the management's commentary in wake of its merger with Vijaya Bank
and Dena Bank
in April 2019. The bank, which got merged under India’s first three-way bank merger, will reportedly rationalise 900 bank branches to improve efficiency.
At the bourses, the stock has lost over 7 per cent ever since the merger came into effect as against a rise in the benchmark S&P BSE Sensex of over 1 per cent. Over the last one year, shares of BoB have fallen 13.4 per cent while the Sensex has rallied over 18 per cent.